wega virtual breakfast: AI-powered disease modeling in real-world for value-based clinical development
Date:
November 23, 2021 08:45 - 10:00
Virtual event:
Language:
The event will be held in English
Schedule:
08:45 - 08:50
08:50 - 09:50
Intro - Dr. Nicolas Schaltenbrand
Presentation - Dr. Billy Amzal
09:50 - 10:00
Q&A and discussion
Abstract
Drug development has been undergoing a transformational shift from the classical sequence of randomized control trials (RCT) to a more agile process capitalizing better and faster from past trials and real-world data. This shift has been accelerated and reinforced by the COVID pandemic which highlighted the critical need for robust real-world data platforms and fit-for-purpose analytical tools.
The purpose of this talk is to propose a regulatory-grade, data-integrative and disease-centric approach to accelerate and de-risk trials while maximizing the real-world value of the products in development. This relies on:
- A Paradigm Shift: from power-based to RW value based designs, as promoted by regulators and payers over the past decade
- A real-world disease modeling approach meant to simulate, at patient level, and jointly the disease progression and the care pathway in the real life practice
- A mix of real-world data science, Bayesian modeling, interpretable machine learning, advanced statistical and predictive modeling to capture the efficacy-to-effectiveness bridging, the short term to long term extrapolations and the integration of evidence from various and heterogeneous data sources
- An IT, data, and legal infrastructure to industrialize and "platformize" the integration of all the above
Both the general approach and concrete examples (e.g. in MS, cardiovascular, oncology and rare diseases) will be presented to demonstrate the current value and the upcoming transformational benefit to pharma companies, care providers and health systems overall.
Our Speaker:
Billy Amzal
Billy Amzal is a mathematical engineer from Ecole Polytechnique and holds an award-winning PhD in Bayesian Optimal Design. Over the past 20 years, Billy has developed quantitative methodologies to inform strategic decision making in healthcare.
Prior to joining Quinten Health as CEO, Billy led the model-based drug development at Novartis. He then headed analytical/data science groups within EU and international public health agencies. Billy has been Senior VP at Certara in charge of Real world data and decision analytics.
He acts as data science, Bayesian statistician and predictive modeling expert for public health authorities (EFSA, ANSES, WHO, Gates Foundation).
Billy led hundreds of RW data projects, authored 100+ publications, defended or submitted 100+ of regulatory and reimbursements dossiers, and led 100+ data modeling or machine learning projects.